翟山鹰：2024年人民币要大跌的原因丨人民币汇率丨人民币兑美元丨中国的人工智能落后于西方世界

翟山鹰：2024年人民币要大跌的原因丨人民币汇率丨人民币兑美元丨中国的人工智能落后于西方世界

For example, if you exchanged U.S. dollars for 6.3, you exchanged U.S. dollars for 6.3 when I talked about 6.3 the year before last, and you exchanged U.S. dollars for 6.4. Then you must have made a profit now, but it is recommended to hold it because the RMB is going to plummet.

I have told everyone about you. Take a look at the annual pattern of January and February of previous years. To what extent did the exchange rate of RMB against the U.S. dollar rise in January and February? Take a good look at it, because at that time, when foreign exchange settlement and

Trade started in March, it was then that the RMB began to depreciate and fall . Looking at the current RMB against the US dollar , according to the convention every year, the current value should be the highest point this year and the highest point in 2024. If 7.2 (offshore) is the highest point,

Do you think how low the lowest point this year will be? Originally, it can be done all over the world. India can take this direction , the UK, France and Germany can all take this direction . It is called artificial intelligence as the direction of our future industry.

It is impossible for China but impossible because everyone knows that the basis of artificial intelligence is computing power to support China’s hardware in this area. There is no condition to do it , and China does not have the conditions to develop artificial intelligence funds. Let me say a few words here.

Does anyone know what Open AI is expected to raise this time for artificial intelligence? He told everyone that it has been able to build a brand new world. In other words, the artificial intelligence of open AI is now able to create a completely new world on the Internet

. So how much money does it need to raise? Its experimental stage has made everyone look at many related institutions. It is not the Sora that everyone is talking about now. Ah, ah, it is in its current experimental stage , and the amount it has raised is 7 trillion U.S. dollars

. What is the concept of 7 trillion U.S. dollars? Let me tell you , is it the total government revenue of China in 2023 ? The fiscal revenue of the entire country of China reaches US$3 trillion . The amount raised by this company is more than twice

The fiscal revenue of the entire country of China. More importantly, according to Altman, the executive officer of open AI company, he is now in contact with the Saudi Arabian Emirates. When national sovereign funds are willing to invest, they will be very confident and sure about raising US$7 trillion.

Have you ever thought about what the problem is ? Using US$7 trillion in a company to develop an industry, do you know what the problem is? What is the key point? The future development of the artificial intelligence industry around the world will exclude China from the rest of the world

Because China’s Internet is not interconnected with the rest of the world. I have said it before , so I won’t go into detail with you . After all, even Zhou Hongyi in China has to admit that he is very cautious in his speech in China. He does not admit

That the gap with the West is not narrowing but growing. This industry is rejecting China’s development. Everyone can think of it. Artificial intelligence is listed as a pillar and important industry for the country’s future development. It is impossible only for China. It is impossible for China

And it is impossible for China to have funds. China’s future pillar industry is still an industry that cannot spend money because China now has no money. China’s debt problem is a super terrible problem. I have said that money for the next hundred years has been spent in the past

To fill a hole of more than 2,000 trillion yuan. It is at least more than 1,000 trillion yuan. In fact, it must be more than 20 million yuan . We have seen that the official data of the government is more than 1,000 trillion yuan. We can do this. See,

I told you last time , so now because the government-related institutions owe too much money , the leverage is too high, so what should we do now? The government can only print money as hard as it can to fill the bill.

These governments used to leave big holes in financial institutions, banks and other financial institutions , but now they are printing one or two trillion yuan of funds. In the past few years, they have printed one or two trillion yuan. A lot of our 300 trillion yuan is just one or two yuan.

With the newly printed funds printed in the past few years, the one to two trillion yuan will definitely not be able to fill the big hole of one to two trillion yuan. So the money can only be used to fill the hole. It’s an emergency , so when the bank gets the money

, it can only keep most of the funds in the account. Why? Because the bank faces such a high possibility of bad debts of one to two trillion, he doesn’t dare to put this little money in. We don’t dare to spread the money to the previous government agencies that

Created such a big hole for them, right? We’ve talked about this before , so there’s no funds, so there’s a big problem , but there’s no way to go now. Confirm the main direction of China’s future economic development. There is no way to confirm the third one. It is very important. The third

Plenary session of the Central Committee cannot be held. A big problem is internal contradictions because the current political system of the Chinese Communist Party still requires everyone to be a dictatorship. The government needs everyone to support this dictatorship. How to support the system ? We have to rely on economic links

To make everyone rich, that is, to make everyone in the current system of the Communist Party rich and earn money. They can not only support their families but also have a sense of happiness. Only then can they comply with the needs of the higher-level party. The task has been completed , but now

That the country has no major economic income and no main business, I have been talking about this for so many years . It is useless to lie to ourselves. The government has lied to itself about the data . It is useless to lie to the people. But you really have to have income.

Therefore, as there is no main business income, it is constantly relying on the issuance of special national debts, local special bonds, and various kinds of debts to make up for it. But even so, a large number of Chinese governments are already in a huge dilemma of having no money. The Chinese government employees

Have a huge number of civil servants themselves, which are 40 I have not had any moral beliefs for many years . I told you the year before last that many of the products served in the Three-faced Guanyin in Hainan are the leader’s brand. After entering the Three-faced Guanyin,

You can see from the seated Guanyin inside to the boys on both sides of it to all the products. Little Guanyin is sold for a fee every year. How many of them are government leaders? You can tell when you look at the name and see his family members

At the bottom . Because he has to take a photo of his real name inside and outsiders can see it, so once it is gone, What economic interests will appear in the CCP’s official system ? It’s hard to imagine, including why there are so many things happening now. I’m not joking with you.

The local civil service system of the Chinese Communist Party government. You have to check the rosters of civil servants in all local governments to understand. As long as our provinces, cities, counties and townships are not central In fact, more than half of the civil servants in local governments

Are from the public security system, the law, and other stability maintenance systems. These people are double-edged swords and double-edged keys. These people are not these people. These people are not called fuel-efficient lamps. I know the advantages and disadvantages within the CCP very well. If these people have been

Kicked out of the civil service after working for 10 or 20 years without food , or to be honest, they can’t get paid for 8 months, 10 months and a year, then you will Seeing what kind of role these people will play within the CCP system,

Many local governments are really arrears of wages and have reached a critical point. Yes, they need these people. I tell you, there is no good person . China’s public prosecutors and law are just rogues. Many people Tell me about the triads in Beijing. Last time I was asked,

I said it is impossible that there are triads all over China and only in Beijing. It is impossible because the largest triad in China is the Communist Party of China . The Communist Party of China is the largest triad in China . Beijing is the base camp of the triad.

How can it be possible? Are other underworlds allowed to exist? I can’t kill anyone who is looking for trouble in my underworld. So only when the CCP is not so powerful outside and the underworld is not so powerful, can there be room for other underworlds to survive. But now

This underworld has no money. But there are so many gangsters who go to watch movies. If the gangster has no money , the boss has no money to support these gangsters. But these people are accustomed to smashing, smashing and robbing and are capable of doing all kinds of bad things

. They don’t have any morals and beliefs, right? Then things started to happen , so everyone understood. I am always joking with everyone. This is also no joke. Why do you think about it in these two days? Look at how many fires are on fire in Beijing,

Majia Pu, Shanghai is on fire, and Nanjing is on fire. There is a fire in Chengdu, there is a fire in Ningbo, there is a fire in Jiamusi , there is a fire in more than a dozen places. They are not small fires. Go online and look at the photos.

They are all big ones . Uh, what kind of residential buildings are on fire? What are the tram sheds on fire? etc. These are not small fires. Go online and look at the domestic natural disasters. The media has reported that there are more than a dozen fires of this scale.

Is this really spontaneous combustion ? Or is someone starting to deliberately set fires? Including this very weird fire in Guizhou, there are more than 200 ignition points . As we all know, this is only in Guizhou in history. How correct ? So this is what I told you.

The lithium battery is a bomb . An old lithium battery is meant to be eliminated. As long as you charge it, it doesn’t matter how much it is full. You just need to cause a short circuit in any way and it can burst. Okay , overshoot or

Whatever, it is almost bound to explode. It is a spontaneous combustion explosion. This is determined by its own chemical properties. I talked about the positive electrode lithium electron, which is determined by its chemical properties. It is bound to explode. So no kidding. How many lithium batteries are there in China now?

In the past, some people said that they were lead-acid batteries . How many lithium batteries are there now? Electric bicycles and electric cars. No kidding . In fact, there are as many bombs as there are bombs in this country . This is very easy. There is no way. And people in these systems

Have to This country has really started to stir up troubles. Based on their own experience, they themselves are the ones doing the work. They are much more powerful than those outside the system. This is not an alarmist. It is the same. They are much more powerful than those outside the system. So

How can we stabilize this now? The system is also a big problem. It is also a big problem , so there are many problems . They are big and small. We will not talk about them. If we don’t talk about the small problems, they will lead to the current results.

We can see it and it will be difficult to give birth. What should we do at the Third Plenary Session of the Central Committee? What tone will you set? What direction do you want to take economically? What direction do you want to take in terms of social development? In this situation,

Do you dare to mention that our pension should be changed to 65 for retirement ? Society is already like this. Do you dare to mention that our pension should be changed to 65? Retire at the age of 10 , right ? If you don’t mention

A similar topic like this, you will soon have no social security funds. It will be gone soon . If you mention it , it may cause greater turmoil in society. Some civil servants are now in this situation. Let them stay until they are 65 years old to retire. What will happen if

They don’t get the salary and conditions ? I don’t know now. We don’t know now. So there is no way. These problems are left to the great leader Xi Jinping to solve. Let’s be far-sighted, long live the holy saint , long live long live, let’s see how he solves these problems.

What will be the final result if we don’t solve this problem? We can only wait and see, how can we only wait and see , okay, thank you, everyone , thank you, everyone, for listening to me again. I wish everyone all the best and a happy Year of the Dragon

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